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Red74
30218.5
659121.3
705618.3
Blue91
353917.2
70320.8
233727.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686740506080901007491

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6591
#22
21.30.7
26.126.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.9
End3.2
blue by 6.2
27.51.8
27.028.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End6.9
Second
302
#23
18.50.7
23.323.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.5
End3.8
blue by 2.3
703
#10
20.81.8
18.820.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End3.7
Third
7056
#19
18.30.7
14.615.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End3.5
red by 1.1
3539
#24
17.21.8
17.719.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsEarned