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Red50
24710.4
353917.2
749119.1
Blue68
608514.2
283420.6
481017.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50505560655068

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7491
#17
19.10.2
19.719.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End3.9
blue by 1.4
2834
#11
20.61.4
20.421.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End3.1
Second
3539
#24
17.20.2
17.317.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 0.1
4810
#16
17.31.4
16.317.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End4.7
Third
247
#32
10.40.2
10.210.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 3.8
6085
#31
14.21.4
10.511.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsEarned