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Red75
612017.0
70320.8
721121.9
Blue64
353821.8
609718.2
164618.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62625055606570757564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.1
21.122.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End6.2
red by 0.2
3538
#20
21.80.4
22.222.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Second
703
#10
20.81.1
20.922.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End3.7
red by 1.9
1646
#30
18.90.4
18.618.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
Third
6120
#21
17.01.1
16.317.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End4.8
blue by 1.2
6097
#15
18.20.4
17.818.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsEarned