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Red61
696317.5
522915.9
50330.0
Blue20
664213.6
52316.0
598212.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582702040806120

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
30.00.0
25.325.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End9.6
red by 16.3
6642
#27
13.60.4
10.09.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Second
6963
#18
17.50.0
14.214.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End5.6
red by 5.3
5982
#17
12.20.4
7.36.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End3.7
Third
5229
#26
15.90.0
15.815.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End1.0
red by 10.0
5231
#37
6.00.6
8.17.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed