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Red36
544811.5
516211.7
710910.9
Blue60
519323.5
400422.4
481920.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346302040803660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5162
#39
11.70.4
11.712.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 11.8
5193
#11
23.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End5.0
Second
5448
#38
11.50.3
12.012.3
Auto5.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 10.8
4004
#20
22.40.0
19.519.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Third
10.90.3
8.28.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 9.6
4819
#22
20.50.0
19.819.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed