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Red56
295918.3
357013.5
400422.4
Blue36
655210.5
481920.5
550211.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53381020306070805636

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#20DQ
22.40.2
19.119.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End3.6
red by 1.8
4819
#22
20.50.0
19.719.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Second
2959
#25
18.30.2
17.417.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End3.8
red by 6.9
5502
#34
11.40.0
8.48.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Third
3570
#23
13.50.3
13.714.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End4.3
red by 3.0
6552
#28
10.50.0
8.38.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed