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Red68
9419.6
357226.7
658110.1
Blue45
722615.4
749513.0
542425.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51513540455560656845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#10
26.71.4
22.724.1
Auto3.4
Teleop15.2
End8.1
red by 1.1
5424
#13
25.60.3
25.525.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End4.6
Second
94
#12
19.61.4
15.617.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End6.0
red by 4.1
7226
#15
15.40.5
12.512.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Third
6581
#35
10.11.4
9.210.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End3.4
blue by 2.9
7495
#33
13.00.5
11.511.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed