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Red59
499410.9
519323.5
50330.0
Blue77
550918.6
86227.9
654821.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626245505560657075805977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
30.00.2
25.925.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End9.6
red by 2.0
862
#2
27.91.2
25.927.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.5
End8.4
Second
5193
#11
23.50.2
20.520.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End5.0
red by 1.7
21.91.2
16.417.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End6.4
Third
4994
#24
10.90.2
12.312.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End3.1
blue by 7.7
18.61.2
16.617.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsEarned