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Red51
653311.6
675322.2
655210.5
Blue47
696317.5
720213.6
658218.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060805147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.0
18.519.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End8.0
red by 3.7
6582
#16
18.50.4
15.015.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End5.4
Second
6533
#32
11.61.0
8.69.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 5.9
6963
#18
17.50.7
13.213.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End5.6
Third
6552
#28
10.51.7
8.210.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End2.9
blue by 3.1
7202
#29
13.60.7
12.613.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned38%HAB Docking oddsMissed