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Red38
658110.1
658218.5
659410.6
Blue36
562210.5
357013.5
516211.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403310203050603836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6582
#16
18.50.0
16.316.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End5.4
red by 5.0
3570
#23
13.50.5
10.511.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End4.3
Second
6594
#21
10.60.0
10.910.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 1.2
5162
#39
11.70.4
10.911.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
6581
#35
10.10.0
10.610.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End3.4
blue by 0.4
5622
#40
10.50.3
9.710.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed