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Red70
9419.6
696317.5
508423.7
Blue60
86227.9
499410.9
522915.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55602040801007060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.2
19.520.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End7.2
blue by 4.2
862
#2
27.90.7
27.827.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.5
End8.4
Second
94
#12
19.61.2
17.919.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End6.0
red by 3.6
5229
#26
15.90.7
17.817.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End1.0
Third
6963
#18
17.51.6
14.716.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End5.6
red by 6.7
4994
#24
10.90.7
11.711.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned