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Red9
547311.4
24413.1
28810.4
Blue28
368821.4
520415.6
587811.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43440206080928

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#17
13.13.8
14.010.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.3
blue by 8.3
21.41.5
15.614.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End5.8
Second
5473
#18
11.43.8
11.67.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 4.2
5204
#14
15.61.5
13.511.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.9
Third
288
#37
10.43.8
14.710.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End4.7
blue by 0.9
5878
#32
11.41.5
12.911.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed