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Red53
440919.7
598015.2
362017.9
Blue45
592721.3
78148.7
515216.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494102060805345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.7
14.214.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End3.2
blue by 1.6
5927
#19
21.30.7
13.414.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Second
17.90.7
17.017.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End7.9
red by 1.3
5152
#25
16.60.7
14.915.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End4.9
Third
5980
#24
15.20.7
15.316.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End4.8
red by 6.5
7814
#38
8.70.4
10.410.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed