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Red31
345222.5
656810.3
7418.6
Blue17
723410.5
433711.0
511010.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484202060801003117

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.7
17.615.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End8.3
red by 11.5
4337
#27
11.02.6
12.49.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End3.0
Second
74
#16
18.61.7
16.114.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
red by 7.8
5110
#15
10.72.6
13.611.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.3
Third
6568
#21
10.31.7
12.210.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End2.6
blue by 0.2
7234
#23
10.52.6
14.011.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed