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Red38
21613.3
368821.4
553513.3
Blue51
276727.4
546214.1
524815.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404602060803851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End5.8
blue by 6.0
27.40.9
18.719.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End9.7
Second
216
#35
13.30.0
10.910.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.2
blue by 2.2
5248
#13
15.50.9
11.412.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Third
5535
#28
13.30.0
13.213.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 0.8
5462
#12
14.10.9
13.113.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned