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Red15
28810.4
561010.6
723410.5
Blue26
440919.7
194013.5
360312.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36401020305060701526

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5610
#33
10.62.1
11.79.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End4.2
blue by 9.1
19.71.3
14.913.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Second
7234
#23
10.52.1
11.59.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End3.8
blue by 3.1
1940
#20
13.51.3
10.59.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Third
288
#37
10.42.1
10.98.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End4.7
blue by 1.6
3603
#31
12.01.3
12.110.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed