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Red29
125412.6
520415.6
519416.5
Blue60
433711.0
362017.9
423716.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3645102030405060702960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5194
#29
16.50.6
10.19.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 1.4
17.91.6
17.719.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End7.9
Second
5204
#14
15.60.6
11.911.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.9
blue by 0.7
4237
#11
16.41.6
15.216.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Third
1254
#22
12.60.6
12.011.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.0
red by 1.6
4337
#27
11.01.6
9.811.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsEarned