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Red48
518210.3
561010.6
345222.5
Blue51
547311.4
295914.7
520415.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39370102030506070804851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.0
19.820.7
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End8.3
red by 6.9
5204
#14
15.61.4
13.114.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.9
Second
5610
#33
10.61.0
7.98.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End4.2
blue by 4.1
2959
#26
14.71.4
12.113.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
5182
#36
10.31.0
9.510.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End3.7
blue by 1.2
5473
#18
11.41.4
10.211.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed