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Red38
362017.9
511010.7
233722.1
Blue58
368821.4
546214.1
24413.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53462030406070803858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.3
21.119.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.3
End6.0
red by 0.7
21.40.7
20.020.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End5.8
Second
17.91.3
18.216.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End7.9
red by 3.8
5462
#12
14.10.7
12.112.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End5.5
Third
5110
#15
10.71.3
10.69.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 2.4
244
#17
13.10.7
11.512.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned