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Red48
72189.3
20116.5
543625.8
Blue46
204819.4
341419.2
546712.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44320102040506070804846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.4
17.617.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 6.4
19.41.7
10.512.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End5.7
Second
201
#10
16.50.4
13.814.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End5.2
blue by 2.6
3414
#16
19.21.7
10.412.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End2.8
Third
7218
#17
9.30.4
10.410.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.4
blue by 3.3
5467
#14
12.61.7
9.611.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed