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Red31
553114.1
504810.8
661613.0
Blue53
57319.6
468019.8
20116.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34480102030406070803153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5531
#35
14.10.2
12.412.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End3.2
blue by 5.7
19.80.8
16.217.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End8.1
Second
6616
#12
13.00.2
11.611.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
blue by 6.6
573
#6
19.60.8
15.216.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Third
5048
#34
10.80.2
8.48.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 5.7
201
#10
16.50.8
14.014.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned