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Red38
83510.3
57319.6
437713.4
Blue33
473714.3
575612.5
719110.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4441303550553833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#6
19.61.5
14.813.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End4.6
red by 5.3
4737
#27
14.31.3
13.312.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.3
Second
4377
#18
13.41.5
14.913.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End2.3
red by 0.9
5756
#30
12.51.3
12.411.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Third
835
#25
10.31.5
11.810.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End2.0
red by 0.1
7191
#24
10.11.3
13.011.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed