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Red19
60139.3
468019.8
60938.5
Blue39
72189.3
283419.6
611716.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4248203050601939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.83.0
14.211.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End8.1
red by 0.2
19.60.7
17.216.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End6.3
Second
6013
#38
9.33.0
11.88.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End3.1
blue by 7.2
6117
#20
16.60.7
15.414.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Third
6093
#22
8.53.0
13.610.7
Auto4.9
Teleop1.4
End2.1
blue by 0.8
7218
#17
9.30.7
12.611.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed