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Red44
204819.4
77167.3
20116.5
Blue6
65458.3
78578.0
48549.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393610203050446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.1
12.012.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End5.7
red by 10.0
4854
#15
9.43.1
11.48.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Second
201
#10
16.50.1
15.015.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End5.2
red by 8.2
6545
#33
8.33.1
12.39.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Third
7716
#26
7.30.5
10.610.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 0.7
7857
#40
8.02.3
9.37.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed