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Red49
78578.0
468019.8
9414.3
Blue35
575612.5
546712.6
547810.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3936203050604935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.9
17.218.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End8.1
red by 7.2
5467
#14
12.60.0
12.512.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Second
94
#21
14.31.0
12.913.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End3.8
red by 1.8
5756
#30
12.50.1
11.912.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Third
7857
#40
8.01.0
7.08.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.3
blue by 2.0
5478
#23
10.00.0
9.99.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed