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Red43
56199.5
267312.0
674219.8
Blue49
20116.5
222411.3
76929.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4235203050604349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6742
#11
19.80.2
19.119.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End3.9
red by 3.3
201
#10
16.51.2
15.316.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End5.2
Second
2673
#29
12.00.2
11.812.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.2
red by 0.7
2224
#19
11.31.2
9.210.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Third
5619
#39
9.50.2
9.39.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 0.1
7692
#32
9.51.2
8.910.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed