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Red39
609915.9
779114.6
611715.7
Blue81
776921.1
521516.6
30831.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4661203040507080903981

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#14
15.90.3
14.314.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.7
End3.8
blue by 15.2
308
#4
31.11.0
26.027.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Second
6117
#26
15.70.3
16.816.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.9
blue by 5.4
7769
#12
21.11.0
19.420.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Third
7791
#17
14.60.3
12.712.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End4.1
blue by 2.0
5215
#15
16.61.0
12.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed82%HAB Docking oddsEarned