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Red50
259115.8
261215.8
543623.6
Blue41
46914.1
653213.2
771610.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6038102030507080905041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#19
23.60.5
24.524.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End5.3
red by 9.5
469
#24
14.10.4
12.612.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End3.7
Second
2612
#29
15.80.5
15.915.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End4.2
red by 2.6
6532
#37
13.20.4
14.414.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Third
2591
#27
15.80.5
16.315.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.1
red by 5.1
7716
#25
10.60.4
8.89.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed