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Red47
608721.7
498313.1
660015.5
Blue47
785514.9
518312.1
606618.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514220306070804747

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#10
21.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End8.9
red by 2.9
6066
#12
18.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End6.4
Second
6600
#23
15.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End4.9
red by 0.7
7855
#20
14.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End3.6
Third
4983
#22
13.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End3.1
red by 1.1
5183
#33
12.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed