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Red43
786112.4
171117.1
224610.6
Blue35
60758.1
330222.6
612219.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314801020406070804335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#15
17.10.9
13.814.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End5.6
blue by 5.4
22.60.7
20.019.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
7861
#14
12.40.9
7.48.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 7.5
19.80.7
17.016.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End5.8
Third
2246
#39
10.60.9
8.79.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.9
red by 2.5
6075
#34
8.10.7
8.88.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed