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Red45
552513.5
55048.6
779017.5
Blue43
656110.4
376722.2
361817.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3855102030506070804543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#19
17.50.6
15.916.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
blue by 4.7
22.20.8
21.821.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Second
5525
#31
13.50.6
12.613.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 3.7
3618
#26
17.20.8
17.716.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End4.1
Third
5504
#30
8.60.6
7.98.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End2.3
blue by 1.9
6561
#36
10.40.8
12.311.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed