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Red31
521311.9
786112.4
660015.5
Blue50
780813.0
511015.8
608721.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42491020306070803150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6600
#23
15.50.6
15.715.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End4.9
blue by 6.2
6087
#10
21.70.3
20.020.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End8.9
Second
7861
#14
12.40.6
11.711.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 3.4
5110
#18
15.80.3
13.814.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End4.4
Third
5213
#28
11.90.6
11.911.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End3.8
blue by 1.1
7808
#32
13.00.3
12.212.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned