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Red50
723411.4
205429.6
59639.7
Blue43
658911.4
592727.5
720312.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504120306070805043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.2
28.128.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.4
End8.8
red by 2.1
27.50.3
20.620.8
Auto4.7
Teleop17.5
End5.4
Second
7234
#38
11.40.2
9.910.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 0.8
7203
#32
12.20.3
9.810.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End3.0
Third
5963
#36
9.70.3
9.59.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End3.3
blue by 1.8
6589
#25
11.40.3
8.48.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed