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Red34
531613.8
609418.6
61149.3
Blue77
604313.8
8525.1
247422.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39491020306070803477

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6094
#13
18.60.9
15.714.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End3.0
blue by 6.4
85
#8
25.10.6
19.420.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End8.3
Second
5316
#33
13.81.4
12.110.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End4.7
blue by 8.8
22.71.1
17.618.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End6.8
Third
6114
#31
9.31.4
9.17.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End2.6
blue by 4.5
13.80.6
9.410.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned