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Red33
553511.4
64288.1
606517.0
Blue30
59639.7
724811.8
606615.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4337102030506070803330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6065
#22
17.00.5
16.315.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 1.2
6066
#18
15.70.6
12.211.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End5.1
Second
5535
#20
11.40.6
13.312.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End3.2
blue by 0.5
7248
#35
11.80.6
12.812.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
Third
6428
#34
8.10.9
11.410.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End3.0
blue by 1.6
5963
#36
9.70.6
10.19.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed