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Red27
598018.6
781211.7
562210.1
Blue38
531613.8
323411.7
592727.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40513060702738

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#26
18.60.8
14.013.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End5.9
blue by 8.9
27.50.7
21.320.6
Auto4.7
Teleop17.5
End5.4
Second
7812
#24
11.71.3
10.89.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End2.7
blue by 2.1
5316
#33
13.81.2
13.312.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End4.7
Third
5622
#30
10.11.3
13.512.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End2.8
blue by 1.5
3234
#28
11.71.2
14.213.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed