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Red79
460719.1
282627.6
313018.3
Blue79
298719.9
470317.4
419818.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61553040507080907979

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.6
25.125.7
Auto4.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
red by 7.7
2987
#20
19.90.7
18.719.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
Second
4607
#29
19.10.6
16.617.3
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 0.9
4198
#12
18.20.7
17.017.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End4.1
Third
3130
#50
18.30.6
15.816.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 1.0
17.40.7
16.116.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6