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Red78
460719.1
282627.6
313018.3
Blue64
298719.9
470317.4
419818.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6357304050607080907864

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.6
25.726.3
Auto4.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
red by 7.7
2987
#20
19.90.3
19.419.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
Second
4607
#29
19.10.6
17.317.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 0.9
4198
#12
18.20.3
17.718.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End4.1
Third
3130
#50
18.30.6
16.417.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 1.0
17.40.3
16.817.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6