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Red67
460719.1
282627.6
313018.3
Blue65
298719.9
470317.4
419818.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645840507080906765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.1
26.326.3
Auto4.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
red by 7.7
2987
#20
19.90.2
19.719.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
Second
4607
#29
19.10.1
17.817.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 0.9
4198
#12
18.20.2
18.018.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End4.1
Third
3130
#50
18.30.1
17.017.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 1.0
17.40.2
17.117.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6