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Red20
305412.3
469315.8
485917.4
Blue66
363016.6
701911.1
52528.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060802066

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.42.1
12.710.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End5.9
blue by 11.4
525
#2
28.82.6
18.220.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End9.9
Second
4693
#33
15.82.1
13.711.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
blue by 0.8
3630
#30
16.62.6
10.913.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End1.8
Third
3054
#60
12.32.1
12.210.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End3.0
red by 1.2
7019
#27
11.12.6
13.315.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned