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Red45
710317.3
87619.4
249917.9
Blue46
460719.1
572011.9
369118.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433502060801004546

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#13
19.40.4
15.916.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End5.6
red by 0.3
4607
#29
19.11.4
11.212.6
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
2499
#28
17.90.4
11.311.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End5.5
blue by 0.5
3691
#26
18.51.4
12.814.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End4.8
Third
7103
#15
17.30.4
14.014.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End5.5
red by 5.4
5720
#46
11.91.4
9.410.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed