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Red34
523214.3
284610.3
501913.8
Blue61
731111.6
702819.9
369118.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38411020305060703461

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#45
14.30.2
13.613.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 5.6
7028
#11
19.92.2
13.916.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Second
5019
#52
13.80.2
12.111.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End3.2
blue by 4.7
3691
#26
18.52.2
15.017.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End4.8
Third
2846
#58
10.30.2
9.89.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End1.9
blue by 1.2
7311
#48
11.62.2
9.711.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed