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Red40
249917.9
614713.1
460719.1
Blue53
613218.4
250117.2
388316.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384720304050604053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#29
19.10.5
13.113.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 0.7
18.41.0
14.713.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.8
Second
2499
#28
17.90.5
11.912.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End5.5
red by 0.8
2501
#23
17.21.0
16.115.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Third
6147
#41
13.10.5
10.811.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 3.3
3883
#16
16.41.0
13.512.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed