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Red42
753013.9
469315.8
662418.2
Blue60
470317.4
205227.1
250915.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3842203050604260

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6624
#40
18.20.6
12.913.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 8.9
27.12.3
20.422.7
Auto5.8
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Second
4693
#33
15.80.6
12.112.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
blue by 1.6
17.42.3
8.210.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Third
7530
#57
13.90.6
11.412.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End3.3
blue by 1.8
2509
#25
15.72.3
10.913.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsEarned