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Red54
702819.9
514310.8
313018.3
Blue67
298719.9
179215.7
453115.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414620305060705467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#11
19.91.7
16.017.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Level
2987
#20
19.92.3
15.517.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
Second
3130
#50
18.31.7
12.414.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 2.5
4531
#39
15.82.3
12.714.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Third
5143
#43
10.81.7
10.512.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
blue by 4.9
1792
#38
15.72.3
15.317.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned59%HAB Docking oddsEarned