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Red48
249917.9
419818.2
250915.7
Blue21
60449.4
284610.3
245013.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4234203050604821

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#12
18.20.2
14.314.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End4.1
red by 4.6
2450
#44
13.61.2
15.514.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Second
2499
#28
17.90.2
12.412.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End5.5
red by 7.6
2846
#58
10.31.2
9.78.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End1.9
Third
2509
#25
15.70.2
13.213.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.2
red by 6.4
6044
#54
9.41.2
7.15.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed