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Red27
675812.3
514310.8
369118.5
Blue75
282627.6
459317.8
613218.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445330405060702775

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3691
#26
18.51.6
17.816.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End4.8
blue by 9.1
27.61.6
21.823.5
Auto4.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
Second
6758
#55
12.31.6
11.59.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End4.1
blue by 6.1
18.41.6
14.816.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.8
Third
5143
#43
10.81.6
12.110.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
blue by 7.1
4593
#18
17.81.6
13.615.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsEarned