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Red31
251213.3
250915.7
710317.3
Blue61
251116.9
657416.2
485917.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444525303540505560653161

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#15
17.31.2
16.215.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 0.1
17.40.3
11.511.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End5.9
Second
2509
#25
15.71.2
13.412.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.2
blue by 1.2
16.90.3
15.816.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End4.0
Third
2512
#37
13.31.2
12.311.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 2.9
6574
#22
16.20.3
15.716.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed54%HAB Docking oddsMissed