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Red29
179215.7
753013.9
87619.4
Blue56
418219.8
543412.9
250117.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525130406070802956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#13
19.42.2
18.416.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End5.6
blue by 0.4
4182
#17
19.80.8
18.819.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.0
End4.6
Second
1792
#38
15.72.2
17.615.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End4.7
blue by 1.4
2501
#23
17.20.8
16.417.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Third
7530
#57
13.92.2
13.311.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End3.3
red by 1.0
5434
#51
12.90.8
13.314.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed