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Red47
422619.0
375411.0
305412.3
Blue43
388316.4
501913.8
313018.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3841303545504743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4226
#10
19.01.3
17.919.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
red by 0.7
3130
#50
18.30.4
14.114.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Second
3054
#60
12.31.3
11.012.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End3.0
blue by 4.0
3883
#16
16.40.4
13.413.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End4.5
Third
3754
#42
11.01.3
6.98.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 2.7
5019
#52
13.80.4
11.612.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed